Cosmos vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
FIO
27%
25%
49%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
COS
1 - 1
TFI
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 3
COS
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
TPE
37%
25%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
COS
2 - 0
CAI
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FAE
0 - 2
FOL
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TFI
4 - 1
FAE
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FIO
7 - 0
FAE
34%
24%
41%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 0
FAE
19%
21%
60%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 2
FAE
45%
25%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |