Cosmos vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
COS
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
COS
2 - 0
FAE
53%
22%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 2
COS
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
COS
1 - 0
CAI
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
COS
0 - 2
TFI
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FAE
3 - 0
CAI
75%
17%
9%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FAE
0 - 1
FIO
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
COS
2 - 0
FAE
53%
22%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 2
FAE
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
FAE
1 - 3
DOM
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |