Cosmos vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 2
COS
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 1
COS
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
CAI
0 - 1
COS
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
COS
4 - 3
SGI
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
COS
1 - 1
TPE
30%
24%
47%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 0
SGI
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 2
FAE
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 1
PEN
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 2
FAE
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
JUV
3 - 1
FAE
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |