Cosmos vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2005 |
TFI
2 - 2
COS
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
TPE
1 - 1
COS
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
COS
1 - 0
SGI
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2005 |
FOL
1 - 0
COS
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
COS
1 - 0
FIO
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
FAE
0 - 1
FOL
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
TPE
2 - 1
FAE
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
FAE
0 - 1
FIO
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
TFI
1 - 1
FAE
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
FAE
1 - 2
SGI
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | -1 |