Cosmos vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
FOL
3 - 0
COS
45%
25%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
DOM
5 - 3
COS
70%
18%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
COS
0 - 2
FIO
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
COS
1 - 2
MUR
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
TPE
1 - 1
FAE
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
CAI
0 - 1
FAE
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
LIB
2 - 0
FAE
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
FAE
2 - 1
DOM
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
FAE
5 - 2
SGI
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |