Cosmos vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
CAI
2 - 0
COS
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
DOM
0 - 3
COS
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
COS
2 - 1
TPE
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
LIB
2 - 3
COS
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
COS
0 - 2
VIR
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
DOM
1 - 1
FAE
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
FAE
3 - 2
TPE
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
FIO
0 - 1
FAE
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
FAE
3 - 1
FIO
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
DOM
3 - 2
FAE
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |