Cosmos vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
COS
0 - 0
FIO
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
VIR
0 - 1
COS
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
COS
4 - 2
FOL
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
COS
4 - 0
TPE
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
COS
4 - 0
FIO
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
FAE
1 - 0
TPE
49%
25%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
FAE
1 - 1
DOM
41%
25%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
LIB
2 - 1
FAE
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
FAE
0 - 2
MUR
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
GSD
1 - 1
FAE
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |