Cosmos vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
65.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
COS
1 - 2
MUR
17%
22%
62%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 1
COS
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
COS
0 - 1
FAE
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
COS
2 - 5
LIB
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
SGI
1 - 6
COS
38%
26%
37%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
TPE
1 - 3
DOM
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
DOM
3 - 1
FIO
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
DOM
1 - 3
TFI
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 1
DOM
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
DOM
2 - 3
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |