Cosmos vs Lavoco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
49.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
TAK
10 - 1
CSM
80%
14%
7%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CSM
0 - 3
SNL
16%
21%
63%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
EXC
5 - 1
CSM
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CSM
1 - 3
FOR
22%
24%
54%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
CSM
0 - 3
ELI
20%
23%
56%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lavoco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2008 |
YOR
4 - 1
LAV
77%
14%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
KAM
2 - 0
LAV
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LAV
0 - 0
NOT
17%
22%
62%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2008 |
SNL
6 - 0
LAV
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2008 |
LAV
1 - 3
EXC
18%
22%
60%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |