Cosma vs Macouria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2015 |
GEL
4 - 0
COS
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 0
COS
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
COS
0 - 2
KOU
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
COS
0 - 1
CSC
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COS
1 - 1
GRA
46%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Macouria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 0
MAC
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 3
KOU
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 3
MAC
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 4
GRA
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
GEL
4 - 0
MAC
56%
24%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |