Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Tivoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
34%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarrabus Ogliastra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PAG
2 - 1
CSO
64%
18%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CSO
3 - 1
SOR
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ASI
1 - 1
CSO
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CSO
4 - 1
HYR
42%
22%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
ARZ
0 - 1
CSO
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tivoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 0
SSD
25%
21%
54%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SSD
1 - 1
APR
74%
16%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ACC
1 - 0
SSD
21%
20%
59%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SSD
0 - 1
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
RCF
0 - 3
SSD
22%
20%
58%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |