Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Palmese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
8º
18º
8º
50
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 33 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarrabus Ogliastra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
APR
1 - 2
CSO
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CSO
2 - 1
ACC
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
CSO
56%
20%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CSO
0 - 2
CAS
32%
22%
47%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AUR
3 - 0
CSO
28%
22%
50%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 2
SSC
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HYR
1 - 0
PAL
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 1
PAG
23%
26%
52%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
APR
1 - 1
PAL
42%
26%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 1
ASI
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |