Coruripe vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
CSA
2 - 0
COR
47%
24%
30%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ATA
3 - 3
COR
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
MUR
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CSE
2 - 0
COR
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
COR
0 - 0
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
CRB
19%
23%
58%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ASA
2 - 2
PEN
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 3
ATA
37%
25%
39%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
COR
2 - 0
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 0
IPA
42%
26%
32%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |