Corumbaense vs Naviraiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corumbaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
COR
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
COR
1 - 1
COM
39%
24%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 0
COR
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
AQU
3 - 0
COR
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
COR
3 - 2
PAN
76%
14%
9%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
NAV
5 - 1
MAR
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
COM
0 - 2
NAV
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 1
NAV
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 0
AQU
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
NAV
6 - 0
PAN
68%
18%
15%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |