Corumbaense vs Naviraiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corumbaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
COR
1 - 1
PAN
77%
14%
9%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
7DE
2 - 2
COR
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
COR
3 - 1
COM
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
COR
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
AGU
3 - 0
COR
32%
25%
44%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 0
7DE
64%
20%
17%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
NAV
3 - 0
MAR
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
COM
1 - 0
NAV
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
AGU
4 - 2
NAV
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 1
AQU
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |