Sul-Matogrossense Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Corumbaense vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corumbaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
COR
3 - 1
ITA
51%
23%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PAN
1 - 5
COR
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
NAV
3 - 3
COR
53%
23%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
AGU
3 - 0
COR
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
COR
2 - 0
7DE
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
SAA
2 - 1
CHA
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
5 - 0
AQU
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 1
CEN
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAM
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 0
COM
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |