Copa Colombia 1/64
Global 3-1
Internacional de Palmira vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional de Palmira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 0
COR
20%
25%
55%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
COR
0 - 1
TFC
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ONC
2 - 1
COR
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
COR
0 - 0
ALI
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
COR
2 - 1
HUI
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
REA
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 1
REA
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CHI
3 - 2
REA
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
REA
1 - 1
FOR
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
REA
2 - 3
QUI
27%
28%
46%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -2 |