Coronel Aguirre vs 9 de Julio Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+159%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coronel Aguirre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SRI
1 - 0
AGU
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 4
ADI
67%
19%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
AGU
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BHU
1 - 0
AGU
75%
16%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 2
TFE
16%
21%
64%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BHU
2 - 0
9DJ
63%
22%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TFE
4 - 1
9DJ
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
9DJ
0 - 2
ATL
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
9DJ
1 - 1
SRI
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ADI
0 - 0
9DJ
16%
19%
65%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |