Coritiba vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.2%
2.8%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
COT
5 - 0
ROM
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
0 - 0
COT
37%
28%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
COT
4 - 1
OPE
89%
9%
3%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CIA
1 - 1
COT
13%
22%
65%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
RIO
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 5
TCW
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 0
JMA
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 3
TCW
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
2 - 0
ARA
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
0 - 0
LON
39%
24%
36%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |