Coritiba vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
OLI
1 - 1
COT
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
COT
2 - 0
CEN
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
CEN
2 - 0
COT
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2004 |
COT
1 - 1
OLI
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2004 |
SPC
4 - 1
COT
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
WAN
1 - 1
SPC
20%
26%
54%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 3
SPC
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
SPC
4 - 1
CEN
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
SPC
0 - 5
ALI
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
OLI
2 - 1
SPC
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |