Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 3-2
Coritiba vs SC Ulbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
COT
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
COT
1 - 0
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CCR
1 - 2
COT
15%
20%
65%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
ULB
2 - 2
COT
16%
20%
64%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
COT
2 - 2
PAR
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SC Ulbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
ULB
2 - 0
JAR
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 2
ULB
22%
22%
56%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
ULB
2 - 2
COT
16%
20%
64%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
ULB
3 - 0
PIM
84%
10%
6%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 2
ULB
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |