Coritiba vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
COT
2 - 0
ATM
27%
26%
48%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
COT
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
COT
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
COT
1 - 1
FLU
40%
28%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
COT
1 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
AMF
48%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SCI
1 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PPE
3 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 4
COR
24%
27%
50%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |