Coritiba vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.9%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9%
2.5%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CIA
1 - 1
COT
13%
22%
65%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
RIO
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
LON
1 - 1
COT
13%
21%
66%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
COT
4 - 1
ARA
92%
6%
2%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 3
COT
11%
20%
68%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 2
LON
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 2
OPE
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 3
CIA
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 2
OPE
35%
25%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 0
OPE
42%
25%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |