Coritiba vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
COT
2 - 1
FLU
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 1
COT
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
BAH
0 - 0
COT
27%
27%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
COT
2 - 1
ATM
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
COT
1 - 0
NAC
87%
10%
3%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 1
NAU
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
NAU
2 - 2
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 3
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |