Coritiba vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
COT
2 - 1
BAH
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 1
COT
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
COT
1 - 0
PPE
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
COT
25%
27%
49%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 0
PAL
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 1
COR
26%
29%
46%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 0
ATL
39%
26%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 1
NAU
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |