Coritiba vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
COT
30%
27%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
COT
3 - 0
ICA
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FFL
2 - 0
COT
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
COT
0 - 2
DUQ
72%
20%
9%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
IFC
5 - 1
COT
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
NAU
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 0
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
PPE
2 - 0
NAU
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ICA
3 - 1
NAU
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |