Coritiba vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
IFC
2 - 0
COT
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
COT
2 - 1
ATM
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
FLA
5 - 0
COT
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
COT
1 - 1
GOI
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
POR
0 - 0
COT
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 0
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
SCI
1 - 1
NAU
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 1
POR
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 2
NAU
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAU
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |