Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 0-2
Coritiba vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
COT
4 - 1
JMA
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 0
COT
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
JMA
2 - 1
COT
21%
26%
53%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
COT
3 - 1
ICA
78%
16%
6%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CAM
1 - 2
COT
16%
25%
60%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
NAU
4 - 0
YPI
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 0
COT
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
NAU
4 - 1
RIO
50%
22%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
EST
2 - 2
NAU
15%
20%
65%
|
63 | 24 | 39 | -1 |