Coritiba vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 5
COT
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
PAU
2 - 0
COT
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
COT
2 - 1
CRB
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
COT
6 - 2
MAR
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
CEA
2 - 0
COT
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 1
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
SPO
2 - 0
NAU
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ARN
3 - 1
NAU
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
NAU
3 - 3
PAU
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
NAU
3 - 2
CRB
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |