Coritiba vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COT
6 - 2
RIO
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
COT
3 - 1
ATL
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 4
COT
14%
20%
66%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
COT
2 - 0
ARA
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CCR
0 - 3
COT
7%
15%
78%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
JMA
2 - 1
IRA
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
JMA
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
JMA
2 - 2
ACP
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 2
JMA
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
JMA
2 - 1
CIA
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |