Coritiba vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
COT
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
COT
1 - 0
VIL
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
COT
4 - 0
BRU
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
LON
2 - 3
COT
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
COT
0 - 1
BOT
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
REM
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PPE
0 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
CSA
45%
27%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 0
OPE
46%
29%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |