Coritiba vs Maringá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
5.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NPR
1 - 2
COT
8%
18%
74%
|
80 | 43 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
COT
3 - 2
BAH
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 2
COT
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
PAL
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
COT
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
OPE
42%
24%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 1
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
GRE
42%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 2
ITU
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 1
GRE
37%
26%
38%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |