Paranaense 1 Knock-out stages Final
Global 6-3
Coritiba vs Grêmio Maringá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
GEM
1 - 2
COT
6%
13%
82%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
COT
1 - 1
ATP
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 2
COT
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
COT
3 - 0
CIA
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CIA
0 - 1
COT
11%
21%
68%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
GEM
1 - 2
COT
6%
13%
82%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
GEM
0 - 0
OPE
12%
19%
70%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 1
GEM
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
GEM
5 - 0
CAS
16%
19%
65%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
GEM
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |