Coritiba vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NAU
3 - 0
COT
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
COT
0 - 1
AGU
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 1
COT
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
COT
2 - 2
GOI
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
COT
2 - 2
BAH
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FLA
4 - 1
CRI
62%
22%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLA
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 0
FLA
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 4
ATP
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 1
FLA
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |