Coritiba vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
COT
2 - 0
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 2
COT
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
COT
0 - 0
JMA
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
COT
1 - 0
CIA
79%
15%
6%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
COT
3 - 0
ACP
81%
14%
5%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
BAH
4 - 2
ITA
65%
19%
16%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
MDE
3 - 2
BAH
23%
22%
55%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 2
COT
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
IPI
4 - 0
BAH
24%
23%
53%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 1
CFC
76%
16%
9%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |