Coritiba vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 0
COT
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
COT
1 - 1
SAO
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
COT
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
COT
2 - 2
JUV
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
COT
1 - 0
CRZ
28%
27%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
SAN
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 2
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 1
AMF
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
PAR
64%
21%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SCI
0 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |