Coritiba vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
27.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
COT
0 - 1
GRE
39%
29%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
VAS
0 - 1
COT
46%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
COT
2 - 1
PAL
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
COT
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
COT
1 - 1
GOI
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
PPE
1 - 1
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
ATM
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
GOI
0 - 0
CHA
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 2
FFL
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SCI
0 - 0
CHA
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |