Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 4-2
Coritiba vs CENE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
COT
1 - 1
GRE
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
COT
16%
22%
62%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
COT
2 - 1
RIO
84%
13%
4%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 2
COT
15%
21%
64%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 2
COT
22%
23%
55%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 2
COT
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
CEN
24%
25%
52%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
3 - 1
MIS
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
3 - 1
AQU
71%
17%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
CEN
18%
22%
60%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |