Coritiba vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ACP
3 - 2
COT
17%
21%
62%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 3
COT
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
COT
3 - 1
CCR
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
COT
1 - 0
ULB
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
COT
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 2
BOT
17%
22%
61%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
BOT
4 - 4
VAS
48%
22%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 6
BOT
15%
22%
64%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 0
VAS
44%
23%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 1
VOL
82%
12%
6%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |