Coritiba vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
COT
0 - 3
GUA
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
PPE
2 - 0
COT
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
SAO
2 - 1
COT
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
PAR
1 - 1
COT
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
ATM
4 - 1
COT
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
BOT
0 - 1
JUV
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
BOT
0 - 1
ATP
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
BOT
2 - 3
SCI
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
VIT
2 - 0
BOT
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |