Coritiba vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
COT
2 - 0
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
COT
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
COT
1 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 3
COT
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 0
COT
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AVA
3 - 0
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 2
AVA
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 1
NAU
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
AVA
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
AVA
1 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |