Corinthians vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
COR
0 - 0
CRZ
52%
26%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
SAO
2 - 0
COR
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
CEA
0 - 1
COR
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
COR
1 - 2
BRA
47%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 1
COR
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
FLU
1 - 2
PAL
44%
27%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
PAL
3 - 2
ATM
48%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 1
MIR
48%
26%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 2
CHL
16%
20%
63%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 0
BOT
45%
27%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |