Corinthians vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
18.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LEV
1 - 2
COR
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
COR
0 - 1
KOL
53%
25%
21%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
CRI
68%
22%
11%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FLU
5 - 2
COR
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
GRE
52%
27%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
MON
52%
24%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
6 - 0
SAO
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 1
MAR
34%
25%
42%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |