Corinthians vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 3
COR
31%
30%
39%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
COR
1 - 2
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
COR
3 - 0
CRZ
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
COR
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 2
COR
23%
29%
48%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
FLU
1 - 2
ATM
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
PAY
1 - 2
FLU
20%
23%
56%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
JEC
2 - 1
FLU
22%
26%
52%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
PAY
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
FFL
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |