Copa Libertadores qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 0-2
Corinthians vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
NOR
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
COR
26%
26%
49%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
COR
2 - 0
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
GOI
1 - 1
COR
33%
27%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
COR
2 - 0
VAS
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ONC
3 - 1
TOL
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 1
ONC
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SFE
0 - 1
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
TOL
4 - 3
HUI
59%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
EQU
1 - 0
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |