Corinthians vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
23.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 0
COR
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
COR
2 - 2
CEA
64%
24%
13%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
COR
1 - 0
ATM
42%
28%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
38%
29%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 1
COR
17%
28%
55%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
IVT
0 - 2
MAC
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
UCE
0 - 1
IVT
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
IVT
2 - 0
FAM
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
EME
1 - 3
IVT
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
IVT
1 - 0
IND
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |