Corinthians vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
COR
37%
27%
35%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
COR
27%
30%
43%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
COR
22%
28%
51%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 1
COR
18%
27%
55%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
PAU
0 - 1
BOT
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 1
MOG
37%
25%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
BOT
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 4
SAN
12%
20%
68%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MIR
3 - 0
BOT
39%
25%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |