Corinthians vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
COR
29%
28%
43%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
COR
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
COT
70%
20%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 2
COR
20%
27%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
3 - 1
AMF
49%
27%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
VIT
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
BOT
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
CRZ
32%
28%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |