Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Corinthians vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2000 |
ATM
1 - 1
COR
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2000 |
COR
3 - 2
CEN
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
CEN
3 - 2
COR
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
COR
5 - 4
OLI
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
LIG
0 - 2
COR
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2000 |
ATM
1 - 1
COR
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2000 |
ATP
2 - 1
ATM
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2000 |
ATM
1 - 0
ATP
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2000 |
BVS
1 - 0
ATM
23%
25%
52%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
ATM
6 - 0
COB
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |