Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 4-2
Corinthians vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
COR
4 - 0
ARG
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 0
COR
50%
26%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 2
COR
25%
28%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
FOR
47%
26%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 2
COR
15%
26%
60%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 0
POT
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
ARN
18%
26%
56%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARN
3 - 0
UNI
71%
18%
10%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 2
COR
15%
26%
60%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
ARN
19%
27%
54%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |